02-18-2021, 05:22 AM
(02-18-2021, 01:38 AM)dukealien Wrote:Now you’re delving into irrelevancies.(02-17-2021, 07:02 PM)busker Wrote: Don’t just swallow whatever Fox News dishes out for youNot just Fox, of course. There's blame to go around, but the main missing quantity is wind. Blame attaches to decommissioning the other sources as if wind was reliable (it's 100% unreliable - when the wind doesn't blow, nothing). Also not planning for a hundred-year cold wave, but that's when engineers start trotting out probabilities... which, when there are bodies, always fail to convince.
@Mark - Sorry about hijacking your thread.
Wind IS intermittent and therefore unreliable at a given point in time.
The current event has nothing to do with that. The modelled availability of wind by ERCOT was 8 GW, of which 4 GW is offline. The modelled availability of nuclear and thermal was 75 GW, of which anywhere between 14 GW and 30 GW is offline.
Because valves and equipment are frozen - affecting gas.
Just read the ERCOT news releases and check out the capacity projections from Dec 2019 for this winter go straight to the source.

